Blockbuster Nolan Arenado trade proposal for Giants, Rockies

By Daniel Sperry
Nolan Arenado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
Nolan Arenado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /
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Giants Nolan Arenado
Evan Longoria. (Photo by Robert Reiners/Getty Images) /

Nolan Arenado and Oracle Park

Many believe Arenado has benefitted from the Coors Field effect and has inflated numbers as a result, and it’s a valid point.

Just look at his career home/road splits:

  • Home: 2,188 PA, .324 BA, .995 OPS, 129 HR
  • Road: 2,169 PA, .265 BA, .799 OPS, 98 HR

That said, Coors Field now has a larger surface area/playing field than Oracle Park, which has undergone a good trim due to the bullpens.

Playing in the same division as the Giants, Arenado has seen plenty of Oracle Park over the course of his career, racking up 267 plate appearances in 61 games and hitting a respectable .267/.336/.483 with 17 doubles and 11 home runs.

Those numbers would certainly be higher with the new dimensions, so while he might not produce at his Coors Field level, he would still be an impact addition to the lineup.

He could be the guy Bobby Evans thought he was getting when he acquired Evan Longoria and what has become a bloated contract from the Tampa Bay Rays.

While Arenado is earning significantly more than Longoria, he actually provided better value in 2019.

Consider the following:

  • Longoria: $12.7 million, 2.4 WAR, $5.3 million per 1 WAR
  • Arenado: $26 million, 5.7 WAR, $4.6 million per 1 WAR

Arenado’s salary will jump up to $35 million in 2020, so some of that value could disappear, but he’s also six years younger than Longoria and still in the prime of his career.

If he continues on at his current pace, Arenado will be worth roughly 66 WAR when he hits the same point Longoria is at in his career right now. Longoria has been worth 54.2 WAR over the course of his 12-year career.

All of this makes it easy to see why the Giants would want to acquire Arenado. However, they would need to craft the right deal to entice the Rockies.