What are Matt Chapman's chances of taking him a Gold Glove Award in 2024?

The SF Giants had three finalists named for the Gold Glove Award at their respective positions in 2024. This included veteran third baseman Matt Chapman. What are his chances of taking home his fifth Gold Glove Award?

What are Matt Chapman's chances of taking him a Gold Glove Award in 2024?

It bears mentioning that the voting has already taken place. So, the finalists represent the top vote-getters at each position. The selection process has improved in recent years where some level of objectivity is factored into the calculation.

25 percent of the voting comes from the SABR Defensive Index, which is a measure to evaluate a player's defensive performance. The remaining 75 percent is voted on by coaches and managers. We did look at Bailey's case earlier this week.

Chapman will go up against Nolan Arenado of the St. Louis Cardinals and Ryan McMahon of the Colorado Rockies. Incredibly, Arenado earned 10 straight NL Gold Glove Awards at the hot corner beginning in 2013. Tha streak was snapped in 2023 when Ke'Bryan Hayes of the Pittsburgh Pirates took home the award.

At the very least, Chapman will have the incumbency factor in his favor. After all, he took home the award in the AL just last season.

That is not the only factor in his favor. The eight-year veteran led all third baseman with +17 Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) by a comfortable margin. McMahon, Hayes, and Ernie Clement were in a three-way tie for second place with +10 DRS.

In addition to this, Chapman tied Joey Ortiz of the Milwaukee Brewers for the lead among third basemen with +11 Outs Above Average (OAA) and +8 Fielding Run Value (FRV). Arenado was third with +9 OAA and +7 FRV. McMahon was a tad behind Arenado with +7 OAA and +5 FRV.

This might not factor into the voting all that much, but Chapman also had one of the strongest arms at third base with an average velocity of 87.7 MPH. Having a strong arm is a must at that position and he showed it off quite a bit this year.

This is more subjective but he certainly passed the eye test as well with his elite arm, incredible range, and clutch plays. Chapman often makes the difficult plays look routine.

Will these numbers help Chapman in the voting? There is a good chance that most managers and coaches are aware and apply the public defensive metrics. If so, this should bode well for the veteran third baseman in his attempt to take home his fifth Gold Glove Award.