What are the SF Giants' odds for the 1st overall pick in 2025?

The SF Giants hope to have a top-10 pick in the 2025 draft, but there is a remote chance that they land the first overall pick. With the 2024 regular season finished, the draft odds have been set in stone, confirming that the Giants have a 1.9 percent chance of landing the top pick according to Baseball America.

What are the SF Giants' odds for the 1st overall pick in 2025?

There is no chance that this would actually happen, right? Well, the Cleveland Guardians must have felt that way before the 2024 draft. They had just a two percent chance of landing that top pick, and sure enough, the odds were in their favor.

With that selection, the Guardians drafted infielder Travis Bazzana out of Oregon State University. I suppose it is fair to say that lightning will not strike twice.

However, the Giants do have a good chance of landing a top-10 pick. The draft lottery odds are determined by reverse standings for non-playoff teams. For the Giants, they were tied with the Tampa Bay Rays for the 11th-worst record in baseball.

Normally, that would not be good enough to sneak into the top-10 of the draft. However, both the Oakland A's and Chicago White Sox are ineligible for a top-10 selection selection due to previous lotteries, markset size, and revenue sharing rules.

That has got to be a bitter pill to swallow for a team like Chicago. They just completed one of the worst seasons in baseball history with a 41-121 record.

For the Giants, it could mean an opportunity to have the highest pick they have had since 2018. In that draft, they selected Joey Bart with the second overall pick.

The Giants are in major need of a talent infusion to their farm system and one of the ways to do so is by hitting in the first round. Unfortunately, only one (Patrick Bailey) of the Giants' last six first-round picks has reached the majors at this point. If you are going to hit on a pick, then doing so with an elite defensive catcher is a good way to go.

In fairness, top power-hitting prospect Bryce Eldridge is close to reaching the majors after finishing the year in Triple-A.

Nevertheless, teams that often have the most success do so by drafting well, especially in the first round. That has not been the case with the Giants whatsoever in the past 15 years.

With Buster Posey now at the helm, the Giants will have a different look in the front office. In his first year on the job, he will be overseeing a pretty important pick for the organization. No pressure, right?