Who the Giants took: Casey Schmitt, 3B/RHP, San Diego State
49th overall pick
Expected Signing Bonus: Below-slot
Future-Value Grade: 40
Schmitt was one of my 21 players to watch on Day 2 of the draft, but even I didn’t expect to hear his name called this early. Schmitt seemed like a late 3rd-5th round prospect and given his flexibility it seemed likely he was a good candidate to go a bit higher for a below-slot deal and it seems the Giants to dove right in with that mindset. The slot for 49th pick is just over $1.5MM, but I’d expect Schmitt to sign for closer to $1MM.
Schmitt was a two-way contributor at San Diego State where he served as an everyday third baseman and high-leverage bullpen arm. He was announced as a third baseman, but the Giants PR team shared his information as a 3B/RHP. While the Giants have not developed a two-way guy yet, president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi has seemed very open to the idea in the past.
From my view, he’s a future 45 reliever and batter, which might allow him to consistently contribute 1.5-2.5 wins above replacement with a creative coaching staff and front office. His fastball sits from 92-94mph and has tremendous late-movement that allows it to play up and pair well with a potentially average curveball and splitter. As a hitter, Schmitt is an above-average third baseman with a plus arm and plus raw power. The hit tool is pretty underdeveloped and he has yet to tap into his power potential, but some scouts are quite high on his potential to develop at the plate with more time.
Schmitt tore his right meniscus before the start of this season, so while his production was more good than great, a scout could see the injury covering up greater potential production. While the value seemed like a reach, Schmitt has an intriguing skillset that allows you to project a pretty high floor while also dream on his tools a bit as well. The Giants have invested heavily in their player development and they’ll be responsible for making the organization look smart with this pick.