The SF Giants did not win a lot of games, but they also invested a lot of money for the few games they did win. In fact, they spent more per win than 24 other teams in baseball.
This is hard to believe, given the season that the Giants just finished. They only won 65 games, but it was a costly 65 games.
Now that the regular season is over, each team's payroll can be calculated with a high degree of accuracy. There are no more moving parts, as there can be during the season.
Fangraphs provides an estimate of each team's luxury tax payroll. This factors in the average annual value of the contracts on the books. Actual payroll numbers measure the actual cash flow going out the door for the roster.
SF Giants ran a high payroll in 2026, but that did not help them in the win column in 2026
Many contracts are paid out evenly throughout the duration of the deal. However, some have options, deferrals, and can be front-loaded or back-loaded. These amounts get factored into the actual payroll.
The luxury tax payroll is the average annual value of each contract. Fangraphs estimates the Giants' luxury tax payroll to be around $224 million. They began the year at around $230 million, but they shed some contracts at the deadline.
Their luxury tax payroll was 13th in baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers ($422 million), San Diego Padres ($265 million), and Arizona Diamondbacks ($230 million) invested more in this year's roster among NL West opponents.
The guaranteed contracts to Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, Matt Chapman, Jung Hoo Lee, and Logan Webb spike up that number pretty quickly. While they were able to shed some salary, some of that number will be offset by raises through arbitration this offseason.
The Giants could have invested more, but that may not have been the wisest decision, considering their return on investment. Even if they spent $25 million or $50 million more on the 2026 roster, that likely would not have bridged the gap to reach the Padres or Diamondbacks in the standings.
The Diamondbacks were third in the NL West, with 86 wins. They were 21 wins ahead of the Giants and spent just a few million more dollars. In that sense, they were far more efficient with their spending.
The Giants spent a lot of money for each win. Every dollar did more work than many teams in baseball. At approximately $3.5 million per win, they were sixth in baseball in that category.
The Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies, and New York Yankees were just a few of the teams ahead of the Giants in spending per win. The difference here is the win total. For example, the Yankees spent $3.6 million per win, but they also won 93 games.
On the other hand, the New York Mets led baseball by spending $4.8 million per victory. They only won 74 games.
Many teams cannot outspend poor decisions in free agency and a farm system that fails to produce. Eventually, the debt on that comes due.
Interestingly, this is also an exercise in frugality and smart front offices. The lone remaining teams in the playoffs are small-market clubs. The Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays spent $1.2 million and $1.1 million per win, respectively. They spent less per victory than nearly every team in baseball, but they have found a way to outsmart teams with bigger pockets. Not surprisingly, those front offices are viewed as some of the best in baseball.
Some teams find ways to win games by outspending others in free agency. Other teams win games by looking around the margins, making shrewd decisions, and leveraging analytics. The Giants do not fit neatly into either bucket. They spent a lot of money, but it did not correlate strongly with winning.
