The San Francisco Giants and Milwaukee Brewers are set to begin a four-game series spanning over the weekend.
The Giants have played some solid baseball of late, going 7-2 in their last nine games. They'll trot out Scott Alexander, who has a 4-0 record on the year, to start tonight's series opener.
Let's dive into the odds for tonight's game and then I'll give you my best bet.
Giants vs. Brewers odds, run line, and total
Giants vs. Brewers prediction and pick
The Brewers are an auto-fade when they have to face a left-handed starter, so I'm going to follow that strategy and bet against them tonight.
The Brewers OPS drops from .729 against right-handed pitchers, all the way down to .639 against left-handed pitchers. That mark of .639 is the second worst mark against lefties in all of Major League Baseball.
It's also worth noting that Scott Alexander has actually been pitching better than his 4.42 ERA might indicate. His FIP (Field Independent Pitching) sits at 3.82, which compliments his .982 WHIP. Alexander is going to be in an opener role tonight, but the Giants should get two solid innings from him.
When the game turns to the bullpen, the Giants have an advantage there as well. They have a bullpen ERA of 3.22 in May, which is the seventh best mark this month. Meanwhile, The Brewers bullpen had gone the opposite direction, ranking 27th in bullpen ERA in May at 5.42.
I'll take the Giants as road favorites in Milwaukee.