Giants vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds for Wednesday June 28 (Back Logan Webb)

Yesterday, Kevin Gausman was very good for the Toronto Blue Jays against his former team, but just not good enough to beat the San Francisco Giants. Alex Wood and the San Fran bullpen blanked the Blue Jays for a 3-0 win to move the Giants to 45-34 and drop Toronto to 43-37. 

The Giants will look to take the series win tonight and the script has flipped in the pitching matchup. San Francisco will have their ace, Logan Webb, making his 17th start of the year. Webb is 7-6 with a 3.16 ERA and has won his last three outings. It’s the Blue Jays that will have a bit of uncertainty on the mound in this one after the Giants went with an opener and a bullpen game that featured five innings of Alex Wood yesterday. 

We’ll see what Toronto has in store, but even without a starter announced they’re the favorites at home. 

Giants vs. Blue Jays odds, run line and total

Giants vs. Blue Jays prediction and pick

It’s unclear who will take the mound for the Blue Jays, but one thing is for certain, it won’t be Alek Manoah. Manoah was an all-star and finished third in Cy Young voting last year, but just gave up 11 runs in rookie ball after being demoted. The Toronto pitching staff is 13th in ERA this month at 3.99 and for the season their bullpen ERA ranks 13th as well. They should be able to cover innings, but not as well as Logan Webb. 

Webb has been very good for the Giants this month though he did allow four runs, but only three earned last time out. Webb is a pitcher that doesn’t get himself into trouble with a 91st percentile walk rate of 5%. His expected ERA is 3.63, so higher than his ERA which could point to potential regression, however, he is still someone I trust. If nothing else, he is a workhorse who has  gone seven innings or deeper in eight of his last 10 starts. 

The Giants definitely have the edge on the mound against whoever starts for Toronto. So, that means Toronto is favored because of their offense, but in June the Giants are fourth in runs while Toronto is 19th and was just shut out yesterday. The Blue Jays are better against righties like Webb than lefties like Wood, but they aren’t better than the Giants. 

I’ll take San Francisco at plus odds on the moneyline, but DraftKings currently has the Giants favored on the moneyline, -1.5 at +185 odds, so as long as that is on the board, that’s my bet. 

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change