Brewers vs. Giants prediction and odds for Saturday, May 6 (Bet on strong pitching)

San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Alex Cobb (38)
San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Alex Cobb (38) / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The NL Central is up for grabs, but the Milwaukee Brewers just can’t grab the lead. While the Pittsburgh Pirates have lost four straight, the Brewers have lost five in a row and still trail by a game and a half. At 18-14, the Brewers are second and have another chance against the San Francisco Giants who moved to 14-17, fourth in the NL West. 

Alex Cobb will be on the mound for the Giants in Game 2 of this series. Cobb is 1-1 with a 2.43 ERA in six starts this season. The Brewers will hand the ball to Colin Rea who is 0-2 with a 4.79 ERA. Let’s check out the odds as the Brewers desperately try to end their losing streak on their road trip out west. 

Brewers vs. Giants odds, run line and total

Brewers vs. Giants prediction and pick

Alex Cobb has one complete game this season, that was two starts ago when he scattered six hits and didn’t allow a run against the Cardinals, but he hasn’t gone longer than five innings in four of his six starts with two of them only lasting 3.2 innings despite never giving up more than three earned in any of his outings. He has a chance for another strong outing against the Milwaukee Brewers today because Milwaukee is struggling to hit over their losing streak. 

Over this 0-5 stretch the Brewers are 24th in baseball in OPS and their 13 runs scored is 28th. They’ve been about league average in terms of ERA, so this issue lies with scoring runs not preventing them. Lately, only Christian Yelich and Rowdy Tellez have been reliable in this lineup. Out of the top eight hitters in terms of at-bats over this stretch, they are the only two with an OPS greater than .700. 

Colin Rea isn’t going to be the guy to stop the bleeding for Milwaukee, at least he hasn’t shown that type of ability this season. He’s only gone past the fifth once in four starts and has a 4.79 ERA and 5.44 FIP. He won’t give the Brewers the best chance to win, but he will hand things off to the bullpen early and they do have a strong string of relievers to bridge the gap to Devin Williams. I like the under with Milwaukee’s offense struggling. 

Alex Cobb only allowed three runs over 5.0 innings in Mexico City and if he can survive against the Padres at 7,000 feet then I like his chances against the Brew Crew in San Fran.

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change