3 SF Giants who will not be back with the club in 2024
The SF Giants are limping to the finish line after another disappointing season. Changes are likely on the horizon, especially on the roster. They have a handful of players slated to hit free agency. So, who will not be back with the club in 2024?
3 SF Giants who will not be back with the club in 2024
The list of pending free agents includes Brandon Crawford, Joc Pederson, Alex Wood, John Brebbia, Jakob Junis, Scott Alexander, and Roberto Pérez. The number could increase if any of Ross Stripling, Sean Manaea, or Michael Conforto decide to opt out of their contracts.
Stripling has indicated that he will not exercise his opt-out clause, which is hardly surprising given that he has struggled to the tune of a 5.57 ERA in 21 outings this year. Manaea and Conforto are less certain as either one could decide to test free agency in a weak market. None of the three have performed well enough this year to have a ton of leverage, but it is possible.
The Giants could non-tender a player or two, but for now, we are sticking with players whose contracts are expiring at the end of this season. And, in the case of Crawford, we are assuming that he is retiring, but he has not tipped his hand one way or the other.
1. Alex Wood
It is no secret that Alex Wood has not been happy with his role. He began the season in the starting rotation but did not give the Giants enough length to remain in that role. Of course, the Giants have not gotten much length out of any of their starters except for Logan Webb and Alex Cobb.
Nevertheless, Wood likely still sees himself as a starter. The Giants, on the other hand, do not view him in that type of role anymore. The lefty's overall numbers are not that bad as he has posted a 4.55 ERA, 4.55 FIP, 1.43 WHIP, 6.7 K/9, and a 1.77 SO/W ratio across 93 innings.
It is a bit concerning that his strikeout rate has plummeted from a career mark of 8.4 K/9. Plus, his command has regressed this season. When he is right, the 11-year veteran is attacking the strike zone and getting a healthy number of ground balls. His 44.9 percent ground ball rate is one of the lowest of his career.
The left-handed hurler might be in a position where he needs to re-establish market value on a pillow contract. This worked for him and the Giants in 2021 as he signed a one-year, $3 million contract and went on to post a 3.83 ERA in 26 outings.
The Giants might be interested in retaining him at that rate, but they have a handful of younger options that they likely prefer, including Keaton Winn, Kyle Harrison, and Tristan Beck. More than likely, he departs for a team that offers him a chance to start. I would not rule out a team like the Detroit Tigers given that former Giants general manager Scott Harris runs the show there now.
3 SF Giants who will not be back with the club in 2024
2. Jakob Junis
The Kansas City Royals non-tendered Jakob Junis after the 2021 season before he landed with the Giants to finish out his rookie contract. The veteran pitcher does not have a specific keystone memory that I can think of in the orange and black, but he has quietly been a steady performer.
Over the past two seasons, the right-handed hurler has posted a 4.18 ERA, 3.69 FIP, 1.29 WHIP, 8.8 K/9, and a 4.22 SO/W ratio. Prior to joining San Francisco, he relied on a five-pitch mix, but the Giants have simplified it to maximize the effectivenes of his slider.
Opposing hitters have tallied a .216 batting average against it this season, so it is no surprise to see that the Giants have asked him to throw it more often. His 2023 numbers have been even better as he registered a 3.87 ERA, 3.75 FIP, 10.0 K/9, and a 4.57 SO/W in 40 appearances.
He does a lot of what the Giants like in a pitcher in that he throws effectively in the strike zone. It is a little surprising to see that they did not give him a look to start when the back end of the rotation struggled to hold up its end of the bargain.
Junis earned $2.8 million this season and I think he is due for a raise next year and could even be in the market for a multi-year deal. There is a relatively low ceiling as to how much he might earn, but a two-year, $14 million might not be out of the question.
That likely will not be with the Giants as he will look for an opportunity to start. Similar to Alex Wood, I think the front office will rely on some of their younger pitchers to fill out the back end of the rotation. Still, I think it is important to reiterate what a nice job Junis has done over the past couple of seasons and could very well be a reliable back-end starter.
3 SF Giants who will not be back with the club in 2024
3. Joc Pederson
I have gone back and forth on this one and have finally stuck my stake in the ground. I realize that Joc Pederson is a bit of a polarizing name in a similar way as Alex Wood. That said, he still brings something to the table. I am not sure I can say the same about Wood.
The Giants offered him a $19.65 million qualifying offer last winter to which he accepted. The purpose of this was to sidestep the need for a multi-year deal, so the Giants paid a higher amount for one season. That salary has been stapled to his forehead as few on the roster have underperformed as badly as he has. The left-handed bat was coming off of an All-Star campaign in 2022 when he posted an .874 OPS with 23 home runs in 433 plate appearances.
He will fall well short of those numbers this year as he is slashing .243/.355/.432 (116 OPS+) with 15 home runs, 51 RBI, and 59 runs in 409 plate appearances. This includes a 13.2 percent walk rate, 20.8 percent strikeout rate, and a .188 ISO.
That .355 on-base percentage and 13.2 percent walk rate will appeal to a lot of teams. The Giants, in particular, like hitters who control the strike zone like Pederson does. Plus, he can still be a middle-of-the-order hitter for a Giants team that may not have a true cleanup bat next year.
He is still a solid hitter even if his numbers took a step back from 2022. Those types of players do not grow on trees, so the Giants may want to consider a reunion. With that being said, the 10-year veteran and his representatives will likely point to solid statcast numbers like a 92.2-MPH average exit velocity as a way to explain poor luck leading to a dip in his overall numbers.
Pederson might be in the market for a two-year deal and could get it if the annual rate makes sense. If he is looking for a two-year, $16 million deal, that could make sense for both team and player. Though, it feels like the ship on him returing has sailed. The Giants will (once again) look to get younger and more athletic and it is hard to accomplish that with a DH-only like Pederson still on the roster.