SF Giants rumors: How to win the trade deadline in three moves
With rumors swirling as the MLB trade deadline inches closer, it feels like the SF Giants are connected to another big name every hour. Already tied to stars like Trevor Story and Kris Bryant, they may even be able to build a trade for Nationals ace Max Scherzer. However, even if Giants president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi decides to pass on the most notable names available, that does not necessarily mean he made a mistake. In fact, they could easily end up winning the deadline with these three trades.
SF Giants: How to win the trade deadline in three minor moves
1. Alex Cobb
While he may not have the pedigree of someone like Scherzer, Los Angeles Angels starting pitcher Alex Cobb has quietly had a fantastic resurgent 2021 campaign. In the final year of a four-year, $57 million contract, Cobb has made 15 starts and recorded 84 strikeouts, 26 walks, and a 3.82 ERA across 77.2 innings pitched. Perhaps more importantly to front office analysts around the league, several advanced analytics are even higher on his performance (2.62 FIP and 3.17 xFIP).
The Angels are still above .500 on the season, and many of their players are hoping for an opportunity to make a run at the playoffs in the final months of the season. Still, with Cobb slated for free agency at the end of the year, the front office could easily try to recoup some players with long-term control. Cobb does have a 10-team no-trade clause, but it’s unclear if the Giants are on that list. More importantly, located relatively close to southern California and deep in a postseason race, it would seem like Cobb would be inclined to allow a deal with San Francisco.
Tyler Beede may not be a centerpiece in a trade package like the former first-round pick could have been a few years ago, but the Angels have quietly found great success at helping pitchers like Cobb revitalize their careers. Command has always been the biggest impediment to Beede’s success, but the 28-year-old still has strikeout stuff and the arsenal to be an effective mid-rotation starter. His control may ultimately force him to the bullpen, but he’d be an easy gamble worth taking for Los Angeles.
Outfielder Jaylin Davis could also conceivably contribute at the MLB level in 2021 and beyond. While he has dealt with a series of injuries, Davis has obliterated Triple-A pitching when he’s received the opportunity in 2019 and 2021, posting a combined OPS of over 1.000. However, injuries and the Giants deep outfield depth have limited him to just 68 big-league plate appearances spread over the past three seasons. Davis has all the tools to be an impact player but might be someone the Giants are willing to part with. For an Angels team that already has a vision for its outfield of the future, Davis would not need to fill an everyday role but should be able to carve out a spot as at least a fourth outfielder.
The Angels would still want a legitimate prospect to be the centerpiece of any deal for Cobb. With a farm system that lacks notable catching prospects, it’s easy to envision the Angels looking to add a backstop. While the Giants may be willing to part with 2020 first-round pick Patrick Bailey, the Angels would probably prefer catcher Ricardo Genovés, who may rank among the ten best prospects in San Francisco’s farm system. Genovés is hitting .286/.392/.486 this season between Low-A and High-A with 10 home runs, 35 walks, and 57 strikeouts in 260 plate appearances.
Still, Davis and Beede are ancillary pieces on the Giants 40-man roster, neither have a significant amount of value. The Angels would likely be intrigued by the prospect of adding either one, but Cobb is legitimately one of the better starters that would be available at the deadline. It would probably take an additional prospect, like Seth Corry, to get the deal done. Corry is a southpaw who easily ranked among the Giants top-ten prospects entering the season, but has really taken a step back this season at High-A. He’s still racking up strikeouts at an elite rate (31.5%), but his 20.4% walk rate is impeding his overall success. Still, Corry has the potential to be an impact player if he can develop even 40-grade command. He should add just enough upside to get a deal done.
SF Giants: How to win the trade deadline in three minor moves
2. Mark Canha
The Oakland Athletics are far from sellers at this year’s deadline, but after acquiring outfielder Starling Marte on Wednesday, there’s some speculation that they could shop some of their impending free-agent outfielders, like Mark Canha. A right-handed hitter from the Bay Area, Canha can handle first base and every position in the outfield. As San Francisco continues producing erratic offensive production against left-handed pitchers, Canha could be an ideal addition to supplement their position group.
The A’s would obviously target pieces in return that could help them immediately, and Giants utilityman Mauricio Dubón easily fits that bill. Dubón is capable of playing nearly every position on the diamond and has generated above-average offensive production against left-handed pitching throughout his career. While Dubón could fall into a similar role in Oakland that he found in San Francisco, starting in the outfield against lefties or serving as a defensive replacement in close games, there may be a more immediate need he could fill as well: shortstop.
Elvis Andrus has struggled mightily this year in Oakland. The longtime Texas Ranger is hitting just .235 this season and has generated an abysmal .587 OPS over the past two seasons combined. While Andrus was once a highly reliable everyday player, the A’s should absolutely be searching for other options. Dubón has his offensive limitations, but even his .234/.272/.373 triple-slash in 2021 exceeds Andrus in each category. When you factor in Dubón’s .901 OPS at Triple-A, it’s easy to foresee Oakland jumping at the chance to acquire him for Canha.
SF Giants: How to win the trade deadline in three minor moves
3. Daniel Hudson
Washington Nationals reliever Daniel Hudson has appeared in parts of 12 MLB seasons. At 34, Hudson is putting together the most dominant campaign of his career. Through 31 appearances, the righty has issued just seven walks while racking up 48 strikeouts in 32.2 innings pitched. Hudson’s 2.20 ERA is backed up by his FIP (2.45), xFIP (2.88), and xERA (2.50).
It’s easy to be skeptical of a career middle-reliever unexpectedly performing like an elite high-leverage arm, but there are some peripheral explanations for Hudson’s success. Despite his advanced age, Hudson is throwing harder than ever before, averaging a career-high 97.3 mph on his fastball. The added velocity to his heater has helped his above-average slider reach another level this season, recording a 54.2% whiff rate.
Giants fans would obviously prefer seeing Scherzer make his way across the country to join the Orange-and-Black, but Hudson has a far greater likelihood of being traded and will come at a far lower price. Norwith Gudino could help a big-league bullpen by the end of this season but is likely blocked in the Giants system and will have to be added to the 40-man roster this winter. He dominated Double-A competition to begin the season and has maintained strong strikeout rates since receiving a promotion to Triple-A.
Matt Frisbee was untouchable at Double-A and seemed slated to join the Giants rotation sometime in 2022. However, since reaching Triple-A, Frisbee has surrendered 16 home runs in just 49 innings of work. Still, Frisbee is a strike-thrower with a good feel for a four-pitch mix (fastball, splitter, curveball, and changeup). If he can keep the ball in the yard, he could become a backend starter. If not, his velocity should pick up enough in the pen that he could still contribute as a reliever.
The Giants could upgrade their bullpen without forfeiting a highly-regarded prospect. At the same time, Washington could recoup a pair of intriguing upper minor-league pitchers for the final months of team control over Hudson.
The SF Giants may be trying to reel in a star before the MLB trade deadline, but with rumors swirling, they could still have a fantastic day if they add Alex Cobb, Mark Canha, and Daniel Hudson.