SF Giants: Building a Max Scherzer trade with the Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals starting pitcher Max Scherzer (31) throws the first pitch of the season against the Atlanta Braves during the first inning at Nationals Park. (Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports)
Washington Nationals starting pitcher Max Scherzer (31) throws the first pitch of the season against the Atlanta Braves during the first inning at Nationals Park. (Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports)
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SF Giants, Joey Bart
SF Giants catcher Joey Bart (21) catches a pitch during the fifth inning against the Seattle Mariners at Oracle Park. (Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports)

SF Giants trade rumors: A fair prospect package for Max Scherzer

Alexander Canario is a borderline top-100 prospect in MLB, but at the least, he is a consensus top-10 prospect in the Giants farm system. With huge power potential and a solid .239/.330/.440 triple-slash in his first taste of full-season ball, Canario has legitimate potential to hit 25 home runs a season. At the same time, the Giants minor league ranks are stacked in the outfield, and Canario is the only notable prospect already on the 40-man roster, making him an obvious trade candidate.

Caleb Kilian was selected in the 8th round of the 2019 MLB draft and has absolutely dominated in his first full minor league season this year. Kilian obliterated the High-A competition with the Eugene Emeralds and has already found his footing at Double-A Richmond. Between the two levels, Kilian has struck out 96 hitters in 84.2 innings pitched (15 starts) while issuing just nine walks and posting a 2.13 ERA. Without an obvious out pitch, scouts are split on whether Kilian has a future in a rotation, but the Nats front office could easily see him contributing at the big-league level soon.

Armani Smith was selected one round ahead of Kilian and has had a strong 2021 as well. Like Canario, Smith feels more expendable due to the team’s outfield depth. Selected out of UC Santa Barbara, Smith is older for a prospect at the High-A level, but he has plus power potential. Smith may not be the caliber of prospect that Kilian or Canario is but would easily rank among Washington’s top 30 prospects.

Sending out Joey Bart for a rental seems hard to envision, but Scherzer is a truly unique player on this year’s trade market. Most importantly, if the Giants are confident they can sign Scherzer to an extension, they might be willing to part with a more premium piece. Of course, signing Scherzer to a premium extension will not leave a massive amount of surplus for the front office to justify a massive package. If they included Bart, it would be hard to envision any other significant piece heading to Washington.

Kervin Castro may be a big-league-ready reliever but would also free up a 40-man roster spot to help the Giants deal with their impending roster crunch. Garrett Frechette was a mid-round selection in the 2019 MLB draft who has failed to find his place in a full-season ball but has performed well in Rookie Ball and could be an intriguing lottery ticket for the Nationals.

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