SF Giants News

San Francisco Giants will win Series, according to season-long patterns

By Mark ONeill
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The San Francisco Giants square off against the Kansas City Royals, in the  2014 World Series, beginning Tuesday night in Kansas City. Both teams are evenly matched, with excellent pitching, fine defense, and clutch hitting. Neither lives or dies by the big fly, but both are capable of creating fireworks of an explosive nature, particularly from the seventh inning onward.

In attempting to predict with any degree of accuracy, the outcome of the series, the one element that thrusts its way into the limelight, with any strong sense of authenticity, is that of patterns, a scheme of events that has been in place all season.

The Royals are a streak team, winning clumps of games, over and over, and then losing a set, or for purposes of this exercise, let’s call it losing four in a row, or four out of five.

If the Royals continue their season-long pattern, they will follow their current win streak with a losing streak.

As such, Kansas City is susceptible to repeating a pattern that has kept them in its grip the entire 2014 season.

Currently, you see, the Royals have won nine straight, which portends a crash on the immediate horizon.

When I wrote about a similar development with the Giants opposing the Pittsburgh Pirates, prior to the wild-card game, I predicted that the Giants would win, because the Pirates were about to lose their third game in a row, for the tenth time in the 2014 season. That proved accurate. Now I see a similar set of circumstances in place, that may contribute to a similar problem for the Royals, that plagued the Pirates.

In all, there were ten winning streaks, or streaks that were limited to one loss in a string of victories, of at least four. The Royals:

* won five games in a row (April-15/April-19) and followed by losing four of five (April-20-April-24)

* won four out of five (April-25/April-30) followed by losing five in a row (May-1/May-5)

* won four of five (May-9/May-14) and then lost four of next six (May-15/May-20)

* won ten in a row (June-7/June-18) followed by losing four in a row and six of seven (June-19/June 25)

* won four of five (June-29/July-4) lost six of next eight (July 5/July 12)

* won five in a row (July-22/July-26) and went 4-3 in next seven games (July 27/August 3)

* won eight in a row (8-3/8-11) and then went 4-2 in next six games

*won six of seven (8-13/8-19)  and then went 4-3 in next seven games

*won four in a row (9-1/9-5)  and followed by losing five of the next seven

*won nine in a row (9-28/10-15) to the present

Kansas City had ten of these winning streaks, including the present one. Six of the nine streaks leading up to the current winning effort, were followed by corresponding losing streaks, of four or more games, with at most, one win mixed in. The other three Royals winning streaks were followed by four Royals victories out of either six or seven games.

The pattern indicates that the Royals are likely to follow a winning pattern, with that of a losing one. Having currently won nine straight, including the last game of the regular season, the Royals are primed for a losing stretch.

In addition to the four losing streaks, already posted behind their corresponding win streaks above, there are five additional losing streaks that did not correspond with hot streaks. The Royals:

lost four out of five (April 8/April-13)

lost four in a row (May-25/May-28)

lost four in a row, (July-18/July-21)

lost four in a row (August-28/August-31)

lost four out of five lost (9-8/9-12)

Included in their losing streaks, were three-game series sweeps by the following teams: Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins, Detroit Tigers (twice), Cleveland Indians, and Seattle Mariners, over half of the sweeps being administered by contending teams.

The regular season schedule of 162 games, is a marathon, and much can be learned by examining season-long patterns. I didn’t create the patterns-I just used them to draw logical conclusions. And the pattern indicates, that if the Royals follow their season-long tendencies, they will not be able to sustain their current winning ways, and will go down to defeat in the 2014 World Series, to the Giants.

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