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San Francisco Giants: Breaking down the 2018 PECOTA Projections

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - SEPTEMBER 15: Joe Panik #12 of the San Francisco Giants is congratulated by Buster Posey #28 after scoring a run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the first inning at AT&T Park on September 15, 2017 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Jason O. Watson/Getty Images)
SAN FRANCISCO, CA - SEPTEMBER 15: Joe Panik #12 of the San Francisco Giants is congratulated by Buster Posey #28 after scoring a run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the first inning at AT&T Park on September 15, 2017 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Jason O. Watson/Getty Images) /
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Takeaway’s

Like i said overall these projections should be taken with a grain of salt but are pretty realistic. I do have a few gripes with some of these:

  •  Madison Bumgarner will not pitch as poorly as projected. The numbers he is projected (in my opinion) are way off. I believe his ERA will be lower than three, if not at three. His innings pitched and strikeouts will be over 200 respectively. Not to mention i believe he will win more than eleven games.
  • Brandon Belt will hit more than 18 home runs (barring injuries of course). With a healthy season and more protection in the lineup, Belt should finally surpass the 20 homer mark and could drive in more than 71 RBI’s.
  • Andrew McCutchen and Evan Longoria‘s home run numbers will be higher and their RBI totals could even be higher as well. The move to AT&T Park will affect their numbers a little bit, but they should still be able to hit twenty-plus bombs each.
  • The bullpen isn’t projected to be phenomenal for a lack of a better word, and that’s completely understandable. Melancon is projected to bounce back and have a nice season, with Strickland, Dyson and Smith also performing well. My one concern with these projections is

    Josh Osich

    . Why in the world is Osich pitching fifty innings? After a rough couple of seasons, i would hope

    Bruce Bochy

    does not give him that big of a role this season.

    Next: Odorizzi trade makes sense for the Giants

    Again, these are just numbers spit out from an algorithm projecting a general idea for how the Giants will do this season. Things will change here in the coming weeks and at the end of the season these numbers will probably look a lot different. But if you’re looking for a general consensus for what the Giants expectations are this year, i think this could be a good tool to use. There should be much improvement up and down the lineup, the rotation and bullpen should be able to do its job if healthy, and the Giants should be in the hunt for a wild card spot throughout the season.

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