The big take-away for me is that these Padres are likely going to score a lot of runs. They can hit, they have guys who can get on base, and it will be quite entertaining. I’d even say this if they were playing in the old Petco Park. There is raw power in the lineup. However, this team is still quite a departure of that 2010 team that almost won the NL West.
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Their pitching staff might be the biggest issue, and it’s likely going to be so bad that it completely negates their offense. Weaver is going to get lit up everywhere he goes, and the NL West is quite familiar with Chacin is a familiar adversary to the rest of the NL West. Clayton Richard will be good again, but the question with him is how good can he be?
The big thing here is that they are still the San Diego Padres folks. Until they prove they have their act together, it’s hard to believe that they might. I buy the offense. However, that staff might be one of the most overrated staffs in the NL, and that’s saying a lot with the D’Backs rotation.
Nobody expects them to compete this year though. The Padres are probably two years behind where the Rockies are at now. They need pitching though, and that doesn’t seem to be bursting through their system anytime soon. Until they can competently address their starting staff, it will go this way for the Padres.
PECOTA rankings have the Padres at 70-92 and last place in the NL West. That is somewhat generous considering they lost 94 games last year, and lost their ace from the rotation. But, I actually agree this is what we could expect from them. They’re gonna score runs, but that staff won’t do a whole lot to keep their opponents from scoring runs. Our prediction? 72-90, but last in the NL West.