PECOTA Projections have the Rockies improving by only one win, and finishing fourth in the NL West this year. While I tend to agree with a few projections from them, this one I don’t.
Ian Desmond at first base is going to be a nice upgrade to Mark Reynolds. He gets on base more, scores more runs, and is a more consistent player overall. Then you add in the maturation of their young core, the Rockies could be a Dark Horse in 2017. I still think they’re a starter away from being a lock as a postseason competitor.
Also, throw in the leadership and developmental aspects to Bud Black, this team could be primed to start breaking out. They were never the Astros, in terms of terrible years of baseball. But they really haven’t had any competitive nature to them since 2009. The Rockies should at least end up at .500 this year. If they don’t something will have to have gone horribly wrong.
The Rockies are on the upswing, and play in a top heavy division. If they can scrape a couple of the Dodgers and Giants, then beat the teams that they’re supposed too, the Rockies could really push up to 84 or 85 wins and really challenge for a wildcard spot. Our Prediction? 83-79, third in the NL West.